Five Factors that Will Decide Jaya’s Future as National Leader
This Dravidian party has always had national ambitions – The AIADMK, or the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhadam. This time its supremo and Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu J Jayalalithaa might fancy a real short at realising that, given the political situation both nationally and in the state.
She has worked with alacrity and has some factors going in her favour. They could be:
1. Releasing Rajiv’s murder convicts:
When the state government decided to free the seven convicts in the Rajiv Gandhi murder case, the move was welcomed by CPI, PMK, MDMK, VCK, and DMK in the state. Despite the SC ruling, Jaya can claim moral high-ground on this emotional issue in the state for taking the decision. It also took the wind off the sails of some Tamil chauvinist outfits. A definite move to get the local parties back her.
2. Quick to announce alliance:
The AIADMK was also quick to announce its alliance before other parties. While the other parties in the state are still undecided on their poll alliance, AIADMK might have the first mover advantage.
3. TN Developmental model vs. Gujarat model:
In a first of its kind, Jaya started pitching her development models to woo potential party candidates. Recently, functionaries from Congress, Janata Dal (u), NCP, BSP and Akhil Bharathiya Vidyarthi Parishad from Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat joined the AIADMK, days after Jayalalithaa released an election manifesto for Lok Sabha polls with a pan-India vision.
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4. Forty LS Seats:
After AP’s bifurcation, TN remains the biggest state in the south in terms of LS constituencies. 40 (including Puducherry) seats is a sizeable number and if the party manages to win at least 30-35 of them, it will have a shot at making its ambitions a reality.
The Odd One Out
5. Language and regional background:
Despite the recent pan-Indian approach, the party still remains a local unit. The reception for the Dravidian party will remain to be seen given its language and regional political background.